Insights for a changing landscape

We analyse the forces shaping energy and commodity markets.Here we publish our views on pricing, policy shifts, and geopolitical realignment — and what they mean for capital, operators, and states seeking to act with intelligence and integrity.

The Orb, The Coup, and the Stateless Trap (Part 2)

March 1, 2026

Part 2 of a 2 part series. Even if you accepted Worldcoin's political premise, the economics don't work: a fixed-supply token in a growing economy produces deflation, freezes investment, and cannot respond to crises the way a state-backed currency automatically can. The current WLD distribution is a venture capital subsidy, not a sustainable funding mechanism, and when it runs out or token prices collapse, the safety net doesn't weaken — it vanishes entirely. Real UBI requires taxing productive assets at the point of generation, which only a state has the legal authority to do.

The Orb, The Coup, and the Stateless Trap (Part 1)

March 1, 2026

Part 1 of a 2 part series. Worldcoin presents itself as a humanitarian project, but beneath the frictionless pitch lies a privatization of the most fundamental civic function: the recognition of persons as legal and political subjects. The 2025 Kenya High Court ruling made the stakes concrete, finding that paying vulnerable populations for their biometric data is coercion, not consent. The deeper danger is structural — if wealthy nations build sovereign UBI systems while others become dependent on a private token network, some people will hold rights while others hold coupons.

The Arctic Mirage: Why a Ukraine Peace Deal Won’t Save ASEAN from the “Mineral Iron Curtain”

February 20, 2026

Southeast Asia’s policy class is watching the wrong theatre. While a potential Ukraine ceasefire might shift European headlines and trim near-term risk premiums, it will not unwind the structural forces now shaping ASEAN’s energy reality.

The Silicon Sponge: How Big Tech Is Draining Southeast Asia’s Energy Grid

February 9, 2026

While the world watches the diplomatic theatre of the New START treaty collapsing, US–Iran nuclear talks stuttering, and analysts obsessing over the price of a barrel of oil, a far more tangible crisis is unfolding in the humid palm oil estates of southern Malaysia [...]

Melaka Rising: Bold Blueprint for Investment, Infrastructure and Inclusive Growth

November 17, 2025

Melaka’s bold strategic vision to transform and secure its economic future through diversified industrialisation and enhanced tourism is anchored on the ambitious Malacca Waterfront Economic Zone (M-WEZ and) Melaka Gateway maritime projects [...]

Malay Mail republishes Penaga Research’s analysis on the Petronas–Petros deal

November 17, 2025

Malay Mail republished Penaga Research’s analysis of the Petronas–Petros framework agreement, highlighting its significance for Malaysia’s energy transition and Sarawak’s upstream autonomy.‍

Dagang News – Penaga sees Petronas-Petros deal as pivotal for Malaysia’s energy transition and Sarawak’s growth

August 29, 2025

Dagang News – Penaga says the Petronas–Petros deal marks a pivotal federal–state alignment to drive Malaysia’s upstream growth and Sarawak-led energy transition.